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Arlan Suderman
Chief Commodities Economist

StoneX Financial Inc. - FCM Division

Mr. Suderman provides leadership for a dedicated team that develops daily and big-picture analysis for the StoneX trading staff and clients in the commodity sector, utilizing StoneX’s vast global resources. Mr. Suderman's team brings together supply and demand fundamentals and macro-market money flow dynamics to assess market conditions to provide unique world-class market intelligence.

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The January USDA reports are known for their surprises, as they contain more data than any other report during the year. Furthermore, the price implications from any potential surprises would be expected to be much larger this year, due to lower corn and wheat stocks and due to very tight projected soybean stocks. The January reports will provide a better picture of the impact of adverse weather on this year’s production expectations. It will also include USDA’s final 2020 production estimates, quarterly grain stocks, updated domestic and global supply and demand balance sheets, along with USDA’s first look at 2021 winter wheat acreage. Fasten your seat belts for a potential wild ride following the release of these reports, as they’ll set the tone for the months that follow.

The StoneX Group Inc. group of companies provides financial services worldwide through its subsidiaries, including physical commodities, securities, exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives, risk management, global payments and foreign exchange products in accordance with applicable law in the jurisdictions where services are provided. References to over-the-counter (“OTC”) products or swaps are made on behalf of StoneX Markets LLC (“SXM”), a member of the National Futures Association (“NFA”) and provisionally registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”) as a swap dealer. SXM’s products are designed only for individuals or firms who qualify under CFTC rules as an ‘Eligible Contract Participant’ (“ECP”) and who have been accepted as customers of SXM. StoneX Financial Inc. (“SFI”) is a member of FINRA/NFA/SIPC and registered with the MSRB. SFI is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) as a Broker-Dealer and with the CFTC as a Futures Commission Merchant and Commodity Trading Adviser. References to securities trading are made on behalf of the BD Division of SFI and are intended only for an audience of institutional clients as defined by FINRA Rule 4512(c). References to exchange-traded futures and options are made on behalf of the FCM Division of SFI. StoneX is a trading name of StoneX Financial Ltd. StoneX Financial Ltd is registered in England and Wales, Company No. 5616586, authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority [FRN 446717]. 


Trading swaps and over-the-counter derivatives, exchange-traded derivatives and options and securities involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. The information herein is not a recommendation to trade nor investment research or an offer to buy or sell any derivative or security. It does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and does not create a binding obligation on any of the StoneX group of companies to enter into any transaction with you. You are advised to perform an independent investigation of any transaction to determine whether any transaction is suitable for you. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc.


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